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Red115
52550.4
328450.9
514125.2
Blue114
171046.6
176938.7
495921.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136115050100150200250115114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.90.1
48.648.5
Auto16.2
Teleop13.9
End20.9
red by 4.3
1710
#11
46.60.1
46.246.3
Auto13.6
Teleop10.4
End22.6
Second
525
#7
50.40.1
48.148.0
Auto14.1
Teleop13.7
End22.6
red by 11.7
38.70.1
38.338.4
Auto13.5
Teleop2.0
End23.2
Third
5141
#31
25.20.1
22.822.7
Auto11.5
Teleop6.4
End7.3
red by 3.3
4959
#20
21.90.1
21.521.6
Auto11.9
Teleop1.4
End8.6