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Red116
198746.7
580145.6
178522.4
Blue116
449950.3
392861.7
198232.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12616450100200250300350116116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.70.2
47.847.6
Auto17.3
Teleop12.6
End16.9
blue by 14.9
61.70.6
61.160.5
Auto20.3
Teleop22.9
End18.5
Second
45.60.2
46.646.5
Auto13.6
Teleop14.6
End17.4
blue by 4.7
4499
#13
50.30.6
49.849.2
Auto20.1
Teleop15.8
End14.4
Third
1785
#36
22.40.2
23.523.3
Auto9.9
Teleop6.2
End6.3
blue by 9.8
1982
#21
32.20.6
31.731.1
Auto11.7
Teleop5.7
End14.8