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Red133
52550.4
328450.9
514125.2
Blue120
171046.6
176938.7
495921.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136116050100150200250133120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.90.3
48.548.8
Auto16.2
Teleop13.9
End20.9
red by 4.3
1710
#11
46.60.3
46.346.6
Auto13.6
Teleop10.4
End22.6
Second
525
#7
50.40.3
48.048.3
Auto14.1
Teleop13.7
End22.6
red by 11.7
38.70.3
38.438.7
Auto13.5
Teleop2.0
End23.2
Third
5141
#31
25.20.3
22.723.0
Auto11.5
Teleop6.4
End7.3
red by 3.3
4959
#20
21.90.3
21.621.9
Auto11.9
Teleop1.4
End8.6