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Red136
198746.7
580145.6
178522.4
Blue141
449950.3
392861.7
198232.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126162050100200250300350136141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.70.4
47.648.0
Auto17.3
Teleop12.6
End16.9
blue by 14.9
61.70.3
60.560.2
Auto20.3
Teleop22.9
End18.5
Second
45.60.4
46.546.9
Auto13.6
Teleop14.6
End17.4
blue by 4.7
4499
#13
50.30.3
49.248.9
Auto20.1
Teleop15.8
End14.4
Third
1785
#36
22.40.4
23.323.7
Auto9.9
Teleop6.2
End6.3
blue by 9.8
1982
#21
32.20.3
31.130.8
Auto11.7
Teleop5.7
End14.8