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Red159
449950.3
392861.7
198232.2
Blue157
511938.9
235318.2
193931.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17185050150200250300350159157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.70.0
61.161.1
Auto20.3
Teleop22.9
End18.5
red by 22.8
5119
#14
38.90.5
38.438.9
Auto15.9
Teleop16.8
End6.1
Second
4499
#13
50.30.0
49.849.8
Auto20.1
Teleop15.8
End14.4
red by 19.3
1939
#17
31.00.5
30.531.0
Auto9.7
Teleop7.4
End14.0
Third
1982
#21
32.20.0
31.631.7
Auto11.7
Teleop5.7
End14.8
red by 14.0
18.20.5
17.718.2
Auto7.0
Teleop3.5
End7.7