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Red197
265539.5
153351.5
366113.8
Blue55
319628.2
453451.8
727017.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116112608010014016018019755

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.50.4
51.051.5
Auto14.1
Teleop16.9
End20.4
blue by 0.3
51.81.3
53.051.8
Auto17.2
Teleop16.0
End18.6
Second
2655
#13
39.50.4
39.039.5
Auto15.9
Teleop18.0
End5.5
red by 11.3
28.21.0
29.228.2
Auto10.5
Teleop8.1
End9.6
Third
3661
#26
13.80.4
13.313.8
Auto4.2
Teleop3.6
End5.9
blue by 3.9
7270
#23
17.71.1
18.817.7
Auto3.9
Teleop4.6
End9.2