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Red86
268238.2
122537.1
830412.3
Blue7
62148.9
831517.5
493516.1
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114400100150200867

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2682
#14
38.20.3
40.240.0
Auto12.9
Teleop11.4
End13.9
red by 20.7
8315
#10
17.50.8
18.417.5
Auto4.5
Teleop6.7
End6.3
Second
37.10.2
38.938.7
Auto7.1
Teleop6.1
End23.9
red by 21.0
4935
#29
16.10.8
16.916.1
Auto8.4
Teleop2.1
End5.5
Third
8304
#16
12.30.3
14.414.1
Auto2.1
Teleop1.6
End8.6
red by 3.4
6214
#22
8.90.8
9.88.9
Auto2.5
Teleop2.0
End4.4