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Red87
268238.2
122537.1
830412.3
Blue98
265539.5
153351.5
366113.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions961170501502002508798

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2682
#14
38.20.4
38.638.2
Auto12.9
Teleop11.4
End13.9
blue by 13.2
51.51.0
50.649.6
Auto14.1
Teleop16.9
End20.4
Second
37.10.4
37.537.1
Auto7.1
Teleop6.1
End23.9
blue by 2.4
2655
#13
39.51.0
38.637.6
Auto15.9
Teleop18.0
End5.5
Third
8304
#16
12.30.4
12.812.3
Auto2.1
Teleop1.6
End8.6
blue by 1.4
3661
#26
13.81.0
12.911.9
Auto4.2
Teleop3.6
End5.9