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Red98
265539.5
153351.5
366113.8
Blue124
479527.4
333640.4
42908.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1128105010015020098124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.50.0
48.748.7
Auto14.1
Teleop16.9
End20.4
red by 11.1
40.40.3
40.640.3
Auto11.6
Teleop6.7
End22.0
Second
2655
#13
39.50.0
36.736.7
Auto15.9
Teleop18.0
End5.5
red by 12.1
4795
#19
27.40.3
27.727.4
Auto6.9
Teleop3.8
End16.7
Third
3661
#26
13.80.0
11.011.0
Auto4.2
Teleop3.6
End5.9
red by 5.7
4290
#27
8.10.3
8.48.1
Auto6.5
Teleop0.0
End1.6