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Red68
43534.7
744337.2
77156.7
Blue90
319628.2
453451.8
617717.2
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions881080501502002506890

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.20.4
38.137.7
Auto15.5
Teleop3.4
End18.3
blue by 14.5
51.80.2
51.150.9
Auto17.2
Teleop16.0
End18.6
Second
435
#4
34.70.4
35.535.1
Auto4.7
Teleop7.7
End22.3
red by 6.5
28.20.2
27.627.5
Auto10.5
Teleop8.1
End9.6
Third
7715
#25
6.70.4
7.57.2
Auto5.7
Teleop0.4
End0.6
blue by 10.5
6177
#20
17.20.2
15.715.5
Auto7.1
Teleop3.0
End7.1