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Red116
265539.5
153351.5
366113.8
Blue84
479527.4
333640.4
42908.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1157905010015020025011684

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.50.4
49.649.9
Auto14.1
Teleop16.9
End20.4
red by 11.1
40.40.2
40.140.4
Auto11.6
Teleop6.7
End22.0
Second
2655
#13
39.50.4
37.637.9
Auto15.9
Teleop18.0
End5.5
red by 12.1
4795
#19
27.40.2
27.227.4
Auto6.9
Teleop3.8
End16.7
Third
3661
#26
13.80.4
11.912.2
Auto4.2
Teleop3.6
End5.9
red by 5.7
4290
#27
8.10.2
7.98.1
Auto6.5
Teleop0.0
End1.6