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Red121
551141.0
516043.6
776320.4
Blue38
789027.4
55188.3
205919.5
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11954010015020012138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.60.2
41.441.6
Auto8.0
Teleop10.4
End25.2
red by 16.2
7890
#19
27.40.4
27.827.4
Auto11.7
Teleop6.0
End9.7
Second
41.00.2
38.839.0
Auto16.7
Teleop11.8
End12.5
red by 21.5
2059
#16
19.50.4
19.919.5
Auto6.8
Teleop4.4
End8.3
Third
7763
#22
20.40.2
18.218.4
Auto4.8
Teleop4.6
End10.9
red by 12.0
5518
#14
8.30.4
8.78.3
Auto3.3
Teleop1.4
End3.6