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Red168
551141.0
516043.6
776320.4
Blue76
264229.6
600430.5
650022.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1139105015020016876

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.61.2
41.642.8
Auto8.0
Teleop10.4
End25.2
red by 13.1
30.50.5
31.230.7
Auto11.5
Teleop3.9
End15.1
Second
41.01.2
39.040.2
Auto16.7
Teleop11.8
End12.5
red by 11.4
29.60.5
30.429.9
Auto3.3
Teleop5.6
End20.7
Third
7763
#22
20.41.2
18.419.6
Auto4.8
Teleop4.6
End10.9
blue by 1.8
6500
#18
22.10.5
22.922.4
Auto6.4
Teleop1.2
End14.6