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Red159
87663.2
161976.2
459349.8
Blue63
313046.7
245030.2
320646.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2201335010015020025030035015963

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.20.8
75.374.5
Auto26.6
Teleop25.3
End24.3
red by 29.5
3130
#14
46.72.8
49.046.2
Auto14.9
Teleop10.3
End21.5
Second
876
#9
63.20.8
62.361.5
Auto17.2
Teleop15.1
End30.8
red by 17.0
3206
#11
46.22.6
48.345.7
Auto15.6
Teleop11.8
End18.9
Third
4593
#29
49.80.9
48.848.0
Auto16.8
Teleop8.9
End24.1
red by 19.5
30.22.6
32.429.8
Auto14.1
Teleop3.5
End12.6