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Red0
46712.0
9553.2
492927.8
Blue120
66345.4
693334.5
151739.1
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions971220501502000120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95
#7DQ
53.20.9
52.353.2
Auto12.8
Teleop21.7
End18.7
red by 7.8
663
#12
45.40.0
41.040.9
Auto10.9
Teleop4.7
End29.8
Second
4929
#13DQ
27.80.9
26.927.8
Auto7.2
Teleop7.5
End13.1
blue by 11.3
1517
#16
39.10.0
35.135.1
Auto12.2
Teleop7.4
End19.5
Third
467
#38DQ
12.00.9
11.112.0
Auto4.2
Teleop4.8
End2.9
blue by 22.5
34.50.0
30.130.1
Auto11.0
Teleop8.6
End14.9