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Red149
31954.7
356645.0
15130.4
Blue142
50152.4
490950.3
782223.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions144131050100200250300149142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#14
54.70.5
53.954.3
Auto19.3
Teleop10.1
End25.3
red by 2.3
501
#6
52.40.5
50.250.7
Auto17.8
Teleop14.8
End19.8
Second
3566
#10
45.00.5
44.244.6
Auto17.8
Teleop12.5
End14.8
blue by 5.3
50.30.5
48.148.6
Auto12.6
Teleop12.8
End24.9
Third
151
#18
30.40.5
29.530.0
Auto10.1
Teleop3.7
End16.5
red by 7.4
7822
#30
23.00.5
20.821.3
Auto11.0
Teleop3.7
End8.4