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Red153
173655.7
541365.7
493026.3
Blue164
381450.4
549247.3
332439.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions169140100200250153164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.70.1
65.965.7
Auto20.2
Teleop17.7
End27.8
red by 15.3
3814
#11
50.41.0
47.748.7
Auto14.8
Teleop7.0
End28.7
Second
1736
#13
55.70.1
55.855.7
Auto16.8
Teleop15.1
End23.8
red by 8.4
5492
#10
47.31.0
44.645.7
Auto11.3
Teleop12.5
End23.6
Third
4930
#60
26.30.1
26.426.3
Auto12.0
Teleop8.4
End5.9
blue by 13.3
3324
#32
39.61.0
36.937.9
Auto14.6
Teleop6.3
End18.7