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Red134
381450.4
549247.3
332439.6
Blue132
155951.2
11740.9
446735.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions149137100200250134132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3814
#11
50.40.1
48.648.7
Auto14.8
Teleop7.0
End28.7
blue by 0.8
1559
#24
51.20.1
50.050.1
Auto14.8
Teleop17.3
End19.1
Second
5492
#10
47.30.1
45.545.6
Auto11.3
Teleop12.5
End23.6
red by 6.4
117
#6
40.90.1
39.739.9
Auto13.3
Teleop5.1
End22.5
Third
3324
#32
39.60.1
37.837.8
Auto14.6
Teleop6.3
End18.7
red by 3.9
4467
#29
35.70.1
34.434.6
Auto8.3
Teleop7.9
End19.4