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Red182
178760.6
34062.5
326643.0
Blue135
225247.7
12839.4
408527.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions171115050100150200250182135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#2
62.51.1
56.057.0
Auto17.8
Teleop23.5
End21.2
red by 14.8
47.70.7
46.347.0
Auto11.9
Teleop10.5
End25.2
Second
60.61.1
54.155.1
Auto12.6
Teleop23.4
End24.6
red by 21.2
128
#8
39.40.7
38.038.7
Auto7.5
Teleop8.4
End23.5
Third
3266
#16
43.01.1
36.537.5
Auto10.9
Teleop12.0
End20.0
red by 15.5
4085
#39
27.50.7
26.126.8
Auto5.6
Teleop8.4
End13.5