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Red150
150755.4
55433.4
402738.8
Blue167
155951.2
11740.9
446735.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145131100200150167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1507
#12
55.40.2
55.755.4
Auto20.9
Teleop14.3
End20.2
red by 4.2
1559
#24
51.21.2
48.449.6
Auto14.8
Teleop17.3
End19.1
Second
4027
#19
38.80.2
39.138.8
Auto16.9
Teleop9.3
End12.7
blue by 2.1
117
#6
40.91.2
38.139.3
Auto13.3
Teleop5.1
End22.5
Third
554
#5
33.40.2
33.733.4
Auto5.6
Teleop7.9
End19.9
blue by 2.3
4467
#29
35.71.2
32.834.0
Auto8.3
Teleop7.9
End19.4