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Red211
178760.6
34062.5
326643.0
Blue120
278348.1
402843.6
37937.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions178141100200250300211120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#2
62.51.2
58.759.9
Auto17.8
Teleop23.5
End21.2
red by 14.4
2783
#14
48.10.4
48.548.1
Auto10.5
Teleop13.3
End24.2
Second
60.61.2
56.858.0
Auto12.6
Teleop23.4
End24.6
red by 17.0
43.60.4
44.143.6
Auto13.9
Teleop9.2
End20.5
Third
3266
#16
43.01.2
39.240.4
Auto10.9
Teleop12.0
End20.0
red by 5.1
379
#42
37.90.4
38.337.9
Auto13.2
Teleop16.2
End8.5