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Red142
150755.4
55433.4
402738.8
Blue118
155951.2
11740.9
446735.7
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14313450100200250300142118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1507
#12
55.40.4
55.255.7
Auto20.9
Teleop14.3
End20.2
red by 4.2
1559
#24
51.20.6
49.048.4
Auto14.8
Teleop17.3
End19.1
Second
4027
#19
38.80.4
38.639.1
Auto16.9
Teleop9.3
End12.7
blue by 2.1
117
#6
40.90.6
38.738.1
Auto13.3
Teleop5.1
End22.5
Third
554
#5
33.40.4
33.233.7
Auto5.6
Teleop7.9
End19.9
blue by 2.3
4467
#29
35.70.6
33.432.8
Auto8.3
Teleop7.9
End19.4