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Red156
178760.6
34062.5
326643.0
Blue127
278348.1
402843.6
37937.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions180141100200250300156127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#2
62.50.5
59.358.7
Auto17.8
Teleop23.5
End21.2
red by 14.4
2783
#14
48.10.1
48.748.5
Auto10.5
Teleop13.3
End24.2
Second
60.60.5
57.456.8
Auto12.6
Teleop23.4
End24.6
red by 17.0
43.60.1
44.244.1
Auto13.9
Teleop9.2
End20.5
Third
3266
#16
43.00.5
39.839.2
Auto10.9
Teleop12.0
End20.0
red by 5.1
379
#42
37.90.1
38.438.3
Auto13.2
Teleop16.2
End8.5