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Red157
132558.0
86559.8
685922.6
Blue53
85436.1
761411.7
651325.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1597005010020025015753

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
865
#1
59.80.6
56.857.4
Auto16.4
Teleop14.0
End29.4
red by 23.8
854
#18
36.10.5
36.235.7
Auto7.3
Teleop6.7
End22.1
Second
58.00.6
55.055.6
Auto14.8
Teleop14.3
End28.9
red by 32.9
6513
#19
25.20.5
25.324.8
Auto13.1
Teleop6.7
End5.4
Third
6859
#28
22.60.6
19.620.2
Auto7.3
Teleop7.3
End8.0
red by 10.9
7614
#12
11.70.5
11.811.4
Auto4.2
Teleop3.8
End3.7