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Red180
132558.0
86559.8
685922.6
Blue141
136037.5
260947.3
654438.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions153132050100200250300180141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
865
#1
59.81.0
57.958.9
Auto16.4
Teleop14.0
End29.4
red by 12.6
47.30.4
46.747.1
Auto10.0
Teleop13.3
End24.0
Second
58.01.0
56.157.1
Auto14.8
Teleop14.3
End28.9
red by 19.9
6544
#14
38.10.5
37.437.9
Auto8.3
Teleop7.0
End22.9
Third
6859
#28
22.61.0
20.721.7
Auto7.3
Teleop7.3
End8.0
blue by 14.8
1360
#15
37.50.4
36.837.3
Auto11.4
Teleop12.9
End13.2