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Red139
415246.5
633635.8
686424.4
Blue175
136037.5
260947.3
654438.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115131050100150200250300139175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.50.8
45.946.6
Auto17.7
Teleop7.8
End21.0
blue by 0.8
47.31.0
44.945.9
Auto10.0
Teleop13.3
End24.0
Second
35.80.8
35.235.9
Auto11.0
Teleop2.8
End22.0
blue by 2.3
6544
#14
38.11.1
35.536.6
Auto8.3
Teleop7.0
End22.9
Third
6864
#20
24.40.8
23.824.5
Auto10.1
Teleop5.9
End8.4
blue by 13.0
1360
#15
37.51.0
35.136.1
Auto11.4
Teleop12.9
End13.2