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Red129
452536.6
496742.6
766429.1
Blue135
78131.9
401533.2
137421.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12283050100150200250129135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.60.5
41.441.9
Auto11.8
Teleop6.0
End24.9
red by 9.5
33.20.9
30.731.6
Auto13.2
Teleop6.9
End13.1
Second
4525
#10
36.60.6
35.235.8
Auto13.4
Teleop9.0
End14.2
red by 4.7
781
#17
31.90.9
29.430.3
Auto10.4
Teleop5.7
End15.7
Third
7664
#27
29.10.6
27.728.3
Auto8.3
Teleop3.1
End17.8
red by 7.7
1374
#24
21.40.9
18.919.8
Auto10.3
Teleop-0.4
End11.5