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Red166
497649.4
260951.2
760326.2
Blue107
748031.9
613538.4
611031.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13610950150200250166107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.21.0
48.749.7
Auto12.8
Teleop12.8
End25.6
red by 12.8
38.40.2
38.338.4
Auto9.7
Teleop6.9
End21.9
Second
4976
#13
49.41.1
46.647.7
Auto14.7
Teleop15.9
End18.8
red by 17.5
7480
#11
31.90.2
31.731.9
Auto15.5
Teleop10.8
End5.6
Third
7603
#32
26.21.1
23.324.4
Auto6.0
Teleop11.5
End8.6
blue by 4.9
6110
#19
31.10.1
30.931.1
Auto12.2
Teleop6.9
End11.9