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Red103
447641.6
494650.7
614019.1
Blue102
588545.3
490738.8
807225.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12212050100150200103102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.70.1
50.049.9
Auto12.6
Teleop18.6
End19.5
red by 5.3
5885
#17
45.30.1
44.744.6
Auto15.6
Teleop6.6
End23.1
Second
41.60.1
40.940.8
Auto13.7
Teleop18.8
End9.0
red by 2.8
38.80.1
38.238.1
Auto12.2
Teleop7.6
End19.0
Third
6140
#26
19.10.1
18.418.3
Auto4.7
Teleop5.2
End9.2
blue by 6.2
8072
#21
25.30.1
24.724.6
Auto7.3
Teleop3.5
End14.5