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Red143
447641.6
494650.7
614019.1
Blue137
588545.3
490738.8
807225.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12211950100150200143137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.70.8
49.950.6
Auto12.6
Teleop18.6
End19.5
red by 5.3
5885
#17
45.30.7
44.645.3
Auto15.6
Teleop6.6
End23.1
Second
41.60.8
40.841.5
Auto13.7
Teleop18.8
End9.0
red by 2.8
38.80.7
38.138.8
Auto12.2
Teleop7.6
End19.0
Third
6140
#26
19.10.8
18.319.0
Auto4.7
Teleop5.2
End9.2
blue by 6.2
8072
#21
25.30.7
24.625.3
Auto7.3
Teleop3.5
End14.5