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Red236
220077.5
18874.9
808920.4
Blue184
497649.4
260951.2
760326.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19712650100150250300236184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.51.2
76.077.2
Auto18.1
Teleop31.3
End28.1
red by 26.3
51.21.1
49.650.6
Auto12.8
Teleop12.8
End25.6
Second
188
#1
74.91.2
73.474.6
Auto25.4
Teleop24.7
End24.8
red by 25.5
4976
#13
49.41.2
47.648.7
Auto14.7
Teleop15.9
End18.8
Third
8089
#29
20.41.2
18.920.0
Auto6.7
Teleop5.7
End8.0
blue by 5.8
7603
#32
26.21.2
24.325.5
Auto6.0
Teleop11.5
End8.6