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Red189
220077.5
18874.9
808920.4
Blue154
497649.4
260951.2
760326.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20113050100150250300350189154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.50.3
77.277.5
Auto18.1
Teleop31.3
End28.1
red by 26.3
51.20.6
50.651.2
Auto12.8
Teleop12.8
End25.6
Second
188
#1
74.90.3
74.674.9
Auto25.4
Teleop24.7
End24.8
red by 25.5
4976
#13
49.40.6
48.749.4
Auto14.7
Teleop15.9
End18.8
Third
8089
#29
20.40.3
20.020.4
Auto6.7
Teleop5.7
End8.0
blue by 5.8
7603
#32
26.20.6
25.526.2
Auto6.0
Teleop11.5
End8.6