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Red177
220077.5
18874.9
808920.4
Blue169
403951.5
61060.9
632328.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions192146100250300177169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.50.2
75.475.6
Auto18.1
Teleop31.3
End28.1
red by 16.6
610
#5
60.90.7
59.660.3
Auto23.5
Teleop21.8
End15.6
Second
188
#1
74.90.2
72.873.0
Auto25.4
Teleop24.7
End24.8
red by 23.3
4039
#12
51.50.7
50.251.0
Auto15.2
Teleop19.4
End16.9
Third
8089
#29
20.40.2
18.218.5
Auto6.7
Teleop5.7
End8.0
blue by 7.7
6323
#25
28.10.8
26.627.4
Auto12.3
Teleop6.5
End9.3