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Red150
451954.3
502453.8
503219.5
Blue55
430823.1
356020.5
285227.3
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1407105010020015055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.30.7
50.851.6
Auto18.6
Teleop13.8
End21.9
red by 27.0
2852
#18
27.30.4
27.727.3
Auto14.7
Teleop2.6
End10.1
Second
53.80.7
50.351.0
Auto16.6
Teleop10.8
End26.4
red by 30.6
4308
#16
23.10.4
23.523.1
Auto9.6
Teleop2.0
End11.5
Third
5032
#22
19.50.7
16.016.7
Auto6.6
Teleop4.5
End8.4
blue by 1.0
3560
#14
20.50.4
20.820.5
Auto4.7
Teleop6.0
End9.8