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Red182
111446.6
368360.6
240523.4
Blue110
600924.5
762321.8
697822.0
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions141590100200182110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.61.0
55.956.9
Auto12.5
Teleop28.0
End20.1
red by 36.0
6009
#19
24.51.0
22.823.8
Auto11.2
Teleop8.3
End5.1
Second
1114
#10
46.61.0
42.043.0
Auto22.7
Teleop12.9
End11.0
red by 24.6
6978
#15
22.01.0
20.321.2
Auto13.5
Teleop4.3
End4.1
Third
2405
#25
23.41.0
18.719.7
Auto7.9
Teleop4.9
End10.6
red by 1.6
7623
#13
21.81.0
20.021.0
Auto6.9
Teleop4.8
End10.1