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Red234
111446.6
368360.6
240523.4
Blue104
600924.5
762321.8
697822.0
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14563050100200250234104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.60.1
56.956.8
Auto12.5
Teleop28.0
End20.1
red by 36.0
6009
#19
24.50.8
23.824.5
Auto11.2
Teleop8.3
End5.1
Second
1114
#10
46.60.1
43.042.9
Auto22.7
Teleop12.9
End11.0
red by 24.6
6978
#15
22.00.8
21.222.0
Auto13.5
Teleop4.3
End4.1
Third
2405
#25
23.40.1
19.719.6
Auto7.9
Teleop4.9
End10.6
red by 1.6
7623
#13
21.80.8
21.021.8
Auto6.9
Teleop4.8
End10.1