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Red187
142558.0
371144.4
36025.3
Blue214
448849.4
367471.2
646521.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133159050100200250300187214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.01.4
56.357.7
Auto22.4
Teleop17.1
End18.5
blue by 13.2
71.20.6
70.270.9
Auto17.9
Teleop27.7
End25.5
Second
44.41.4
42.744.2
Auto13.0
Teleop4.3
End27.1
blue by 5.0
49.40.6
48.549.2
Auto14.2
Teleop19.0
End16.3
Third
360
#24
25.31.4
23.625.1
Auto12.8
Teleop9.4
End3.1
red by 3.4
6465
#36
21.90.6
21.021.7
Auto9.0
Teleop3.9
End9.0