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Red151
589550.1
36558.3
34117.2
Blue113
331445.5
260751.6
511333.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13215050100200250151113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#1
58.30.7
56.757.4
Auto18.1
Teleop16.1
End24.1
red by 6.7
51.60.4
52.251.7
Auto17.2
Teleop15.5
End18.9
Second
50.10.7
48.549.1
Auto13.4
Teleop21.4
End15.2
red by 4.6
45.50.4
46.145.6
Auto13.6
Teleop10.4
End21.4
Third
341
#34
17.20.7
15.616.3
Auto9.4
Teleop4.1
End3.7
blue by 16.6
5113
#17
33.80.4
34.434.0
Auto12.3
Teleop7.0
End14.5