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Red157
331445.5
260751.6
70925.6
Blue62
70830.4
116834.3
30333.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13410905015020025015762

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.60.6
49.149.7
Auto17.2
Teleop15.5
End18.9
red by 17.3
34.30.9
35.134.3
Auto7.7
Teleop4.5
End22.1
Second
45.50.6
43.043.6
Auto13.6
Teleop10.4
End21.4
red by 12.1
303
#16
33.31.0
34.333.3
Auto13.3
Teleop11.4
End8.7
Third
709
#23
25.60.6
24.725.2
Auto12.2
Teleop5.0
End8.5
blue by 4.7
708
#14
30.40.9
31.230.4
Auto12.5
Teleop4.6
End13.3