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Red141
331445.5
260751.6
70925.6
Blue92
70830.4
116834.3
30333.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1311105010015020014192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.60.6
48.649.1
Auto17.2
Teleop15.5
End18.9
red by 17.3
34.30.2
35.335.1
Auto7.7
Teleop4.5
End22.1
Second
45.50.6
42.443.0
Auto13.6
Teleop10.4
End21.4
red by 12.1
303
#16
33.30.2
34.534.3
Auto13.3
Teleop11.4
End8.7
Third
709
#23
25.60.6
24.124.7
Auto12.2
Teleop5.0
End8.5
blue by 4.7
708
#14
30.40.2
31.431.2
Auto12.5
Teleop4.6
End13.3