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Red148
589550.1
36558.3
34117.2
Blue140
108938.5
272929.0
223437.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136110050150200250148140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#1
58.30.6
56.056.7
Auto18.1
Teleop16.1
End24.1
red by 19.8
1089
#15
38.50.9
37.538.5
Auto10.8
Teleop14.8
End12.9
Second
50.10.6
47.848.5
Auto13.4
Teleop21.4
End15.2
red by 12.9
2234
#21
37.20.8
36.337.2
Auto14.6
Teleop7.3
End15.3
Third
341
#34
17.20.6
15.015.6
Auto9.4
Teleop4.1
End3.7
blue by 11.8
29.00.8
28.129.0
Auto9.4
Teleop6.9
End12.6