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Red159
164047.4
180755.4
249518.7
Blue179
331445.5
260751.6
511333.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12814350100200250159179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.40.9
53.854.8
Auto12.4
Teleop19.9
End23.2
red by 3.8
51.61.2
50.151.2
Auto17.2
Teleop15.5
End18.9
Second
1640
#10
47.40.9
45.846.8
Auto16.7
Teleop16.0
End14.7
red by 2.0
45.51.2
44.045.1
Auto13.6
Teleop10.4
End21.4
Third
2495
#20
18.70.9
17.118.0
Auto3.1
Teleop7.2
End8.3
blue by 15.1
5113
#17
33.81.2
32.333.5
Auto12.3
Teleop7.0
End14.5