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Red93
121848.7
622642.0
42322.5
Blue126
108938.5
272929.0
223437.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13511205010015020025093126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1218
#11
48.70.9
50.349.4
Auto13.6
Teleop11.5
End23.6
red by 10.2
1089
#15
38.50.2
37.837.7
Auto10.8
Teleop14.8
End12.9
Second
42.01.0
43.742.7
Auto10.6
Teleop14.1
End17.3
red by 4.8
2234
#21
37.20.2
36.636.4
Auto14.6
Teleop7.3
End15.3
Third
423
#22
22.50.9
24.023.1
Auto6.7
Teleop2.2
End13.6
blue by 6.5
29.00.2
28.428.3
Auto9.4
Teleop6.9
End12.6