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Red181
164047.4
180755.4
249518.7
Blue139
331445.5
260751.6
70925.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12713350100150200250181139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.40.8
53.053.8
Auto12.4
Teleop19.9
End23.2
red by 3.8
51.60.4
49.750.1
Auto17.2
Teleop15.5
End18.9
Second
1640
#10
47.40.8
45.045.8
Auto16.7
Teleop16.0
End14.7
red by 2.0
45.50.4
43.644.0
Auto13.6
Teleop10.4
End21.4
Third
2495
#20
18.70.8
16.317.1
Auto3.1
Teleop7.2
End8.3
blue by 7.0
709
#23
25.60.4
25.225.6
Auto12.2
Teleop5.0
End8.5