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Red154
121848.7
622642.0
42322.5
Blue85
108938.5
272929.0
223437.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1331145010015020015485

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1218
#11
48.70.4
49.950.3
Auto13.6
Teleop11.5
End23.6
red by 10.2
1089
#15
38.50.5
38.337.8
Auto10.8
Teleop14.8
End12.9
Second
42.00.4
43.343.7
Auto10.6
Teleop14.1
End17.3
red by 4.8
2234
#21
37.20.4
37.036.6
Auto14.6
Teleop7.3
End15.3
Third
423
#22
22.50.4
23.724.0
Auto6.7
Teleop2.2
End13.6
blue by 6.5
29.00.4
28.828.4
Auto9.4
Teleop6.9
End12.6