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Red110
495241.3
29627.5
209520.7
Blue141
494236.6
398638.1
354422.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10010420406080120140160180110141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4952
#16
41.30.4
41.542.0
Auto12.1
Teleop15.6
End13.7
red by 3.3
38.10.7
36.837.5
Auto10.3
Teleop10.2
End17.7
Second
296
#5
27.50.4
27.728.1
Auto10.2
Teleop2.9
End14.4
blue by 9.1
4942
#13
36.60.7
35.236.0
Auto6.9
Teleop9.8
End19.8
Third
2095
#17
20.70.4
20.921.3
Auto6.6
Teleop4.1
End10.0
blue by 1.5
3544
#23
22.20.7
20.921.6
Auto8.2
Teleop5.7
End8.3