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Red78
495241.3
29627.5
209520.7
Blue107
494236.6
398638.1
354422.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10110705015020078107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4952
#16
41.30.6
42.041.3
Auto12.1
Teleop15.6
End13.7
red by 3.3
38.10.1
37.537.4
Auto10.3
Teleop10.2
End17.7
Second
296
#5
27.50.6
28.127.5
Auto10.2
Teleop2.9
End14.4
blue by 9.1
4942
#13
36.60.1
36.035.9
Auto6.9
Teleop9.8
End19.8
Third
2095
#17
20.70.6
21.320.7
Auto6.6
Teleop4.1
End10.0
blue by 1.5
3544
#23
22.20.1
21.621.6
Auto8.2
Teleop5.7
End8.3