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Red138
399647.8
552850.8
495513.5
Blue0
494737.7
760536.0
201630.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1291080501502002501380

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.80.1
51.251.3
Auto14.8
Teleop7.5
End28.5
red by 13.2
4947
#21DQ
37.71.4
36.237.7
Auto12.7
Teleop11.8
End13.2
Second
47.80.1
48.148.2
Auto13.8
Teleop15.2
End18.8
red by 11.8
7605
#8DQ
36.01.4
34.536.0
Auto16.5
Teleop5.4
End14.1
Third
4955
#25
13.50.1
13.813.9
Auto4.2
Teleop1.1
End8.2
blue by 16.8
2016
#12DQ
30.21.4
28.830.2
Auto10.2
Teleop4.5
End15.5