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Red114
284840.7
749231.9
841412.4
Blue81
116426.6
215847.4
708815.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9310305015020025030011481

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.70.6
40.641.3
Auto8.7
Teleop9.4
End22.6
blue by 6.7
47.40.2
47.947.6
Auto13.6
Teleop7.3
End26.5
Second
31.90.6
31.832.5
Auto8.5
Teleop2.2
End21.2
red by 5.3
26.60.2
27.126.8
Auto8.0
Teleop4.3
End14.2
Third
8414
#25
12.40.7
12.312.9
Auto6.2
Teleop0.6
End5.6
blue by 3.1
7088
#20
15.50.2
16.015.8
Auto4.4
Teleop2.5
End8.6