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Red112
406332.8
367944.0
77504.2
Blue39
296613.6
589422.7
83699.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9445015020011239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.00.8
43.143.8
Auto17.8
Teleop12.8
End13.5
red by 21.3
22.70.2
22.922.7
Auto4.1
Teleop1.5
End17.0
Second
32.80.8
31.832.6
Auto8.8
Teleop12.9
End11.1
red by 19.1
2966
#24
13.60.2
13.913.6
Auto4.9
Teleop6.3
End2.5
Third
7750
#23
4.20.8
3.34.0
Auto0.8
Teleop1.0
End2.5
blue by 4.9
8369
#19
9.10.2
9.39.1
Auto3.7
Teleop-0.1
End5.5